Will Ethereum close above $2,500 by September 30, 2026?

Current probability of “Yes”: 50%

Status
Resolved
Category
Crypto
Closing date
1 October 2026
Participants
0
Outcome
Yes
Resolution date
4 October 2026

VangAI analysis

VangAI edge: +25 pp

  • Polymarket prediction market forecasts indicate a 73.5% probability of Ethereum reaching $2,600 by the end of September 2026.
  • CoinCodex forecasts predict Ethereum reaching $3,339.27 by the end of 2026, a 32.78% increase from current levels.
  • Ethereum's current price is $2,514.89, already above the $2,500 threshold.
  • Polymarket forecasts for September 29, 2026, show a median Ethereum price around $2,747, with a 90.5% chance of exceeding $2,700.

It's like a weather forecast predicting a 75% chance of rain when the sky is already overcast.

Market rules

Yes = CMC daily close 30.09.2026 ≥ $2,500. No = below.

Official resolution source