Will Waymo launch a commercial robotaxi service for passengers in London by December 31, 2026?
Current probability of “Yes”: 12%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Technologies
- Closing date
- 1 January 2027
- Participants
- 1
VangAI analysis
VangAI edge: +13 pp
- Waymo announced plans to launch a commercial robotaxi service in London in 2026.
- Testing of Waymo's autonomous vehicles on London's roads began in April 2026 with safety drivers.
- The launch of the commercial service depends on UK government approval, which has not yet been obtained.
- Competitors like Wayve and Uber have already launched robotaxis with safety drivers in London.
Like an obstacle course race, where Waymo is navigating regulatory hurdles to reach the finish line.
Market rules
The market resolves to "Yes" if Waymo officially announces the launch of a paid commercial robotaxi service for passengers (not test/limited rides) in London by December 31, 2026 (23:59 UTC), according to Waymo's official blog (https://waymo.com/blog/) or the company's press releases. Test rides for a limited group of participants without public commercial availability do not count. If there is no official announcement of a commercial launch by the resolution date, the market resolves to "No."