"Will the Golden Lion of Venice 2026 be awarded to the film 'Ink' by Danny Boyle?"
Current probability of “Yes”: 88%
- Status
- Settled
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 13 September 2026
- Participants
- 1
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution date
- 16 September 2026
VangAI analysis
VangAI estimate: +0% for “Yes”, confidence 90%
- Danny Boyle's film 'Ink' opened the 83rd Venice Film Festival, which often indicates a strong chance of winning the top prize.
- Director Danny Boyle has previously received acclaim for his works, including 'Slumdog Millionaire,' which raises expectations for his new film.
- The film 'Ink' is based on a Tony Award-winning play, indicating a strong script and narrative.
- The film's cast includes renowned actors like Jack O'Connell, Guy Pearce, and Claire Foy, adding weight to its award considerations.
Just as 'The Shape of Water' opened the Venice Film Festival and won the 'Golden Lion,' 'Ink' might replicate this success.
Market rules
The market resolves to "Yes" if, at the end of the 83rd Venice Film Festival (September 2–12, 2026), the film 'Ink' by Danny Boyle is officially awarded the main prize, the Golden Lion (Leone d'Oro), at the awards ceremony on September 12, 2026, according to the official website of La Biennale di Venezia (festival results section). If any other film from the competition program wins the prize, the market resolves to "No."