Will the U.S. House of Representatives pass the cryptocurrency taxation bill by the end of 2026?

Current probability of “Yes”: 88%

Status
Open
Category
Economy
Closing date
31 December 2026
Participants
1

VangAI analysis

VangAI edge: +7 pp

  • Bipartisan support for the bill
  • Positive vote in the Ways and Means Committee (38-5)
  • Bill aims to modernize tax code for digital assets
  • Strong support from the Ways and Means Committee Chairman

Like a train that has already left the station, this bill is moving towards passage.

Market rules

"Yes" if the U.S. House of Representatives votes to pass the cryptocurrency taxation bill by 12/31/2026. "No" if it is not passed.

Official resolution source