Will the annual CPI inflation in the USA for May 2026 (overall index) be no higher than 3.0%?
Current probability of “Yes”: 45%
- Status
- Resolved
- Category
- Economy
- Closing date
- 10 June 2026
- Participants
- 0
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution date
- 21 July 2026
Market rules
Resolution is Yes if the official BLS release shows that the annual growth of the overall CPI index in the USA for May 2026 is no more than 3.0%. Context: the energy shock due to the war creates upward pressure.