Will a Turkish series make it into the global Netflix Top 10 by the end of 2026?

Current probability of “Yes”: 38%

Status
Open
Category
Entertainment
Closing date
5 January 2027
Participants
2

VangAI analysis

VangAI estimate: +27% for “Yes”, confidence 80%

  • Netflix is actively investing in Turkish series, with several releases planned for 2026.
  • Turkish series like 'The Tailor' have previously entered Netflix's global top 10.
  • The growing interest in non-English content on Netflix increases the likelihood of Turkish series' success.
  • Upcoming releases like 'Old Money' and 'Seni Tanıyorum' have the potential to attract a wide audience.

Just as a rising tide lifts all boats, the increasing interest in non-English content raises the chances for Turkish series.

Market rules

"Yes" if at least one Turkish-language series appears in at least one weekly global Netflix ranking "Top 10 TV (Non-English)" at any time during the period from the creation date of the market until December 31, 2026 inclusive (based on the publication dates of Netflix weekly charts). The official global Non-English TV list on the Netflix Top 10 website is taken into account. A series is identified as Turkish based on its title card on Netflix. "No" if during the entire period, no Turkish-language series entered this list. Source - official Netflix Top 10 website (weekly global Non-English TV charts and their archive).

Official resolution source