Will the Tomatometer score of the film The Dog Stars be at least 70% on September 4, 2026?
Current probability of “Yes”: 50%
- Status
- Resolved
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 4 September 2026
- Participants
- 0
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution date
- 6 September 2026
VangAI analysis
VangAI estimate: -45% for “No”, confidence 95%
- The current Tomatometer rating is 39%, significantly below the 70% threshold.
- Critics note that the film brings nothing new to the post-apocalyptic genre and suffers from a sluggish pace.
- The film has received mixed to negative reviews, making a significant rating increase unlikely.
- Director Ridley Scott has previously received low scores for other films, which may influence the perception of this film.
Like a team trailing 0-3 with 10 minutes left hoping for a win.
Market rules
Criterion: the Tomatometer value (critic aggregate score, not Popcornmeter) for the film The Dog Stars (directed by Ridley Scott, 20th Century Studios, released on August 28, 2026).
Numeric threshold: 70% or higher.
Source: https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/the_dog_stars — as of August 3, 2026, the Tomatometer is not available on the page (displays "- -").
Snapshot date: September 4, 2026, 12:00 UTC.
Yes — if at the time of the snapshot the Tomatometer on the specified page is 70% or higher.
No — if the value is below 70%, or if the Tomatometer is still not available at that moment (including if the release is postponed).
Resolution date: September 4, 2026, 12:00 UTC.
Edge cases: only whole percentage numbers as shown by Rotten Tomatoes are considered; exactly 70% counts as a "Yes" outcome. If the page is unavailable or publication is delayed, the snapshot is taken within 24 hours following the specified moment. Subsequent changes to the Tomatometer due to added reviews are not considered. If the URL of the page changes, the current page for the same movie on rottentomatoes.com is used.