Will Taylor Swift's 'The Fate of Ophelia' be nominated for Record of the Year at the 2027 Grammy Awards?
Current probability of “Yes”: 88%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 16 November 2026
- Participants
- 1
VangAI analysis
VangAI estimate: +4% for “Yes”, confidence 85%
- 'The Fate of Ophelia' reached number one on charts in the US and UK, indicating widespread popularity.
- The song set records for streaming numbers on Spotify, highlighting its commercial success.
- The song was released within the eligibility period for the 2027 Grammy Awards.
- Taylor Swift has not previously won the 'Record of the Year' award, which may increase the likelihood of her nomination.
Like a blockbuster film with critical acclaim awaiting an Oscar nomination.
Market rules
The market resolves to "Yes" if on November 16, 2026, the Recording Academy officially announces the list of nominees for the 69th Grammy Awards and the song "The Fate of Ophelia" (Taylor Swift) is included among the nominees in the Record of the Year category. If the song does not make it to the nominee list for this category - "No". Source: official website grammy.com (News/Nominees section) and press releases from the Recording Academy. If the announcement of nominees is postponed to another date, the market resolves based on the actual publication of the official list of nominees.