Will the Tomatometer score of the movie Street Fighter be at least 50% on October 19, 2026?
Current probability of “Yes”: 50%
- Status
- Resolved
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 19 October 2026
- Participants
- 0
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution date
- 23 October 2026
VangAI analysis
VangAI edge: -30 pp
- The current Tomatometer rating is 42%, below the 50% threshold.
- Critics' reviews are predominantly negative, reducing the likelihood of a rating increase.
- The film has already been released, making a significant rating improvement unlikely.
- Historically, films with low initial scores rarely reach 50% on the Tomatometer.
It's like a team trailing 0-3 in the 80th minute of a match.
Market rules
Yes — if the Tomatometer (critics' score) shows a numeric value of at least 50% at the page https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/street_fighter_2026 at the snapshot time of October 19, 2026, at 12:00 UTC. No — if the value is less than 50%.
The movie is released in the US on October 16, 2026 (Paramount Pictures). Only Tomatometer (All Critics) is considered, not Popcornmeter or Top Critics.
Edge cases: (1) if at the snapshot time the Tomatometer is not assigned (dash, not enough reviews) or the release is postponed beyond October 19, 2026 — the outcome is “No”; (2) a value of exactly 50% counts as “Yes”; (3) subsequent changes in rating after the snapshot time do not affect the resolution; (4) if the website is unavailable at 12:00 UTC, the nearest available value within 24 hours is taken.