Will Street Fighter collect at least $30 million in the US and Canada during its opening weekend on October 16–18, 2026?
Current probability of “Yes”: 88%
- Status
- Settled
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 20 October 2026
- Participants
- 1
- Outcome
- Voided
- Resolution date
- 23 October 2026
VangAI analysis
VangAI edge: +0 pp
- The 'Street Fighter' movie grossed $31 million in the U.S. and Canada during its opening weekend.
- Initial projections estimated earnings between $25 and $35 million, aligning with actual results.
- The film received mixed reviews from critics, which may have influenced its box office performance.
- Comparable video game adaptations, like 'Mortal Kombat II', opened with $38.5 million, slightly higher.
Just as 'Mortal Kombat II' surpassed the $30 million threshold, so did 'Street Fighter'.
Market rules
Criterion: the box office earnings of the film Street Fighter (Paramount, directed by Kaito Sakurai) in the US and Canada (domestic) for its opening weekend, October 16–18, 2026 (Friday to Sunday, including Thursday evening previews), based on actual data (not studio estimates) from The Numbers or Box Office Mojo. Threshold: strictly above $30.0 million — "Yes"; $30.0 million and below — "No". Source: https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Street-Fighter-(2026) (additional boxofficemojo.com). Guideline: as of early September, awareness of the film is around 39%, comparable game adaptations opened with $29–38 million. Edge cases: in case of discrepancies between sources, actual data from Box Office Mojo takes precedence; if the release is postponed beyond October 16, 2026, the market is cancelled.