Will Solana (SOL) close above $115 according to CoinGecko on October 16, 2026?
Current probability of “Yes”: 88%
- Status
- Settled
- Category
- Crypto
- Closing date
- 17 October 2026
- Participants
- 1
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution date
- 18 October 2026
VangAI analysis
VangAI edge: -23 pp
- The current SOL price is $104.42, below the $115 threshold.
- October 2026 forecasts range from $104.49 to $139.00, indicating uncertainty.
- November 2026 forecasts suggest prices above $115, indicating a potential upward trend.
- The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, making long-term forecasts less reliable.
It's like trying to predict the weather a year in advance in a region with unpredictable climate.
Market rules
Criterion: closing price of SOL on October 16, 2026 (UTC) in the Close column on the historical data page of CoinGecko. Threshold: strictly above $115. "Yes" if the closing value on 10.16.2026 is greater than $115; "No" if it is equal to $115 or less. Source: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana/historical_data. Benchmark: spot price of SOL on 09.20.2026 is around $110. Border cases: a value of exactly $115 is interpreted as "No"; in case of publication delay, the value available on the page within 48 hours after 10.17.2026 00:00 UTC will be taken; when subsequently revising data, the first published closing value for 10.16.2026 is considered; if the page is unavailable, the closing value from the public CoinGecko API for the same date will be used.