Will 'Shrek 5' collect at least $150 million in its opening weekend in the USA?
Current probability of “Yes”: 88%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 6 July 2027
- Participants
- 1
VangAI analysis
VangAI edge: -13 pp
- The 'Shrek' franchise has a history of successful opening weekends, including previous films grossing over $100 million.
Like previous 'Shrek' films, 'Shrek 5' is expected to gross significant amounts in its opening days.
Market rules
The market resolves to 'Yes' if the opening weekend grosses (from Friday to Sunday, actual, not estimated) of the animated movie 'Shrek 5' (Shrek 5) in the USA and Canada are $150 million or more, according to data from Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com). With a confirmed release date of June 30, 2027, the resolution occurs based on the results of the first full weekend of release. If the release is postponed or canceled to a date later than July 6, 2027, the market resolves to 'No'.