Will Season 3 of "The Rings of Power" achieve a rating of at least 85% on Rotten Tomatoes by December 20, 2026?
Current probability of “Yes”: 50%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 20 December 2026
- Participants
- 0
VangAI analysis
VangAI edge: +10 pp
- The first two seasons received high critical ratings (84% and 85% on Rotten Tomatoes), indicating positive reception of the series.
- The third season's plot focuses on the epic war between Sauron and the Elves, which may attract attention from critics and viewers.
- The season premiere is scheduled for November 11, 2026, allowing ample time for critical reviews to form by December 20, 2026.
- However, considering that previous seasons received ratings just below 85%, reaching this threshold for the third season remains uncertain.
Like a student who consistently receives grades just below excellent but aims to improve their performance in the next semester.
Market rules
Yes — if on the snapshot taken on 20.12.2026 at 18:00 UTC, the Tomatometer (critics' score) for Season 3 of the series "The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power" is 85% or higher on the page https://www.rottentomatoes.com/tv/the_lord_of_the_rings_the_rings_of_power/s03. No — if the value is below 85% or the Tomatometer is not available at the time of the snapshot (including if the season's premiere is postponed). For reference: the 1st and 2nd seasons had a score of 84%. Only the critics' Tomatometer is considered; the audience's Popcornmeter is not taken into account. If the page is unavailable, the first accessible snapshot within 48 hours after the resolution date will be used.