Will Season 3 of "The Rings of Power" achieve a rating of at least 85% on Rotten Tomatoes by December 20, 2026?
Current probability of “Yes”: 50%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 20 December 2026
- Participants
- 0
VangAI analysis
VangAI estimate: +10% for “Yes”, confidence 70%
- The first two seasons received an 84% rating on Rotten Tomatoes, indicating a high likelihood of reaching 85% in the third season.
- The third season will focus on key events like the forging of the One Ring and the War of the Elves and Sauron, which may attract more viewers and critics.
- The introduction of new characters like Celeborn and Gandalf may add depth to the storyline and increase its appeal.
- The season is set to premiere in November 2026, providing ample time for thorough post-production work and quality enhancement.
Like a successful student aiming to improve their grade from 84 to 85%.
Market rules
Yes — if on the snapshot taken on 20.12.2026 at 18:00 UTC, the Tomatometer (critics' score) for Season 3 of the series "The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power" is 85% or higher on the page https://www.rottentomatoes.com/tv/the_lord_of_the_rings_the_rings_of_power/s03. No — if the value is below 85% or the Tomatometer is not available at the time of the snapshot (including if the season's premiere is postponed). For reference: the 1st and 2nd seasons had a score of 84%. Only the critics' Tomatometer is considered; the audience's Popcornmeter is not taken into account. If the page is unavailable, the first accessible snapshot within 48 hours after the resolution date will be used.