Will Revolut be valued above $150 billion in a new deal by the end of 2026?
Current probability of “Yes”: 84%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Business
- Closing date
- 31 December 2026
- Participants
- 2
VangAI analysis
VangAI edge: -24 pp
- Revolut's recent valuation of $115 billion, a 53% increase from the previous $75 billion valuation.
- Plans to launch a U.S. bank in 2027, which could increase the company's value.
- Lack of new funding rounds or deals that could raise the valuation above $150 billion by the end of 2026.
- IPO plans only in 2028 or later, reducing the likelihood of a significant valuation increase in the near term.
Like a car that has recently increased its speed but is unlikely to reach top speed without further enhancements.
Market rules
"Yes" if a new valuation of Revolut above $150,000,000,000 is officially announced during 2026 (by 23:59 UTC on December 31) as part of a stock sale, funding round, or IPO preparations, according to the official Revolut news page. For comparison, in July 2026 the valuation was $115 billion. Otherwise - "No."