Will Revolut be valued above $150 billion in a new deal by the end of 2026?
Current probability of “Yes”: 84%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Business
- Closing date
- 31 December 2026
- Participants
- 2
VangAI analysis
VangAI estimate: -24% for “No”, confidence 70%
- Revolut plans a dual listing in New York and London, which could increase its valuation.
- The company aims for a valuation between $150 and $200 billion at IPO, but not before 2028.
- The latest valuation in July 2026 was $115 billion, below the $150 billion threshold.
- Revolut faces regulatory challenges that could slow valuation growth.
Like an athlete aiming for Olympic gold but not yet achieving the qualifying time.
Market rules
"Yes" if a new valuation of Revolut above $150,000,000,000 is officially announced during 2026 (by 23:59 UTC on December 31) as part of a stock sale, funding round, or IPO preparations, according to the official Revolut news page. For comparison, in July 2026 the valuation was $115 billion. Otherwise - "No."