Will 'Practical Magic 2' gross more than $42 million in its opening weekend?

Current probability of “Yes”: 12%

Status
Settled
Category
Entertainment
Closing date
16 September 2026
Participants
1
Outcome
No
Resolution date
17 September 2026

VangAI analysis

VangAI estimate: -12% for “No”, confidence 100%

  • The film 'Practical Magic 2' grossed $30 million in its opening weekend, significantly below the $42 million threshold.
  • Critical reviews were mixed, which may have affected attendance.
  • Box office expectations were initially higher but were not met.
  • The film faced competition from other releases, which may have impacted its earnings.

Like a team expected to win losing by a large margin.

Market rules

'Yes' if the final (actual, not estimate) domestic box office gross of the movie 'Practical Magic 2' (wide release in the USA from September 11, 2026, Warner Bros.) in its opening weekend exceeds $42,000,000 according to data from The Numbers. Otherwise - 'No'. If only a preliminary estimate is published by the resolution date - the value used is 5 days after the weekend, but no later than September 20, 2026.

Official resolution source