Will the series Pluribus win in the category of 'Outstanding Drama Series' at the 2026 Emmys?
Current probability of “Yes”: 50%
- Status
- Resolved
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 16 September 2026
- Participants
- 0
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution date
- 17 September 2026
VangAI analysis
VangAI estimate: -50% for “No”, confidence 100%
- Official results of the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards confirm that 'The Pitt' won the Outstanding Drama Series category, not 'Pluribus'.
- Rhea Seehorn won Best Actress in a Drama Series for 'Pluribus', but the series itself did not win its category.
It's like a team winning the MVP award but not the league championship.
Market rules
Criterion: the official results of the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards (telecast on September 14, 2026) in the category of Outstanding Drama Series.
Source: https://www.televisionacademy.com/awards/nominees-winners/2026
Date of resolution: September 16, 2026, 12:00 UTC.
Yes — if the winner of the Outstanding Drama Series category is the series Pluribus (Apple TV). No — if the winner is any other nominee (The Diplomat, The Gilded Age, A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms, Paradise, The Pitt, Slow Horses, Your Friends & Neighbors).
Contingencies: in case of the ceremony being postponed or a delay in publishing the official results, the resolution will be postponed until they appear on the specified source, but no later than October 31, 2026, 12:00 UTC; if by that time the outcome of the category has not been announced or the award in the category has not been presented — the outcome is No.