Will Nvidia's revenue for Q3 FY2027 exceed the forecast of $108 billion?
Current probability of “Yes”: 12%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Technologies
- Closing date
- 25 November 2026
- Participants
- 1
VangAI analysis
VangAI estimate: +73% for “Yes”, confidence 90%
- Nvidia has a history of exceeding its revenue guidance, averaging 3.1% above the high end over the past four quarters.
- Demand for AI hardware continues to surge, contributing to Nvidia's revenue growth.
- The launch of the Vera Rubin platform is expected to generate approximately $20 billion in Q3, a significant portion of the projected revenue.
- Analysts predict that Nvidia's actual Q3 revenue could reach $113–114 billion, surpassing the company's current guidance.
Like an experienced runner who consistently finishes faster than their stated time.
Market rules
"Yes" if Nvidia's actual total revenue for the 3rd quarter of the 2027 fiscal year, as announced in Nvidia's official press release, exceeds $108,000,000,000 (the company's own forecast stated in the Q2 FY2027 report). Otherwise - "No". If the report is not published by the resolution date, the date is postponed to the actual publication date, but no more than 14 days.