Will the Nobel Peace Prize for 2026 be awarded to an organization rather than just individuals?
Current probability of “Yes”: 88%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Politics
- Closing date
- 9 October 2026
- Participants
- 1
Market rules
The market resolves to "Yes" if in the announcement by the Norwegian Nobel Committee on October 9, 2026 (scheduled for 11:00 AM Central European Summer Time) at least one of the laureates of the Nobel Peace Prize for 2026 mentions an organization or institution (for example, a UN agency, NGO, international movement), including in the case of a joint award to both an organization and an individual. If all laureates are individuals, then "No". If the prize is not awarded in 2026, then "No". Confirmation: the official prize page on nobelprize.org and the press release from the Nobel Committee. If the announcement is postponed, the market's deadline shifts to the date of the actual announcement, but no later than October 31, 2026.