Will the Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine 2026 be awarded to three laureates at once?
Current probability of “Yes”: 88%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Science
- Closing date
- 5 October 2026
- Participants
- 1
Market rules
The market resolves to "Yes" if three laureates (three individuals) are listed on the Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine 2026 page on nobelprize.org. If there is one or two laureates, it resolves to "No." The announcement of the Nobel Committee, expected on October 5, 2026, will be taken into account; if the announcement is postponed, it shifts the check but does not change the criteria. If the prize is not awarded in 2026, the market resolves to "No."