Will Micron's revenue for the IV fiscal quarter of 2026 exceed $56 billion according to the report on September 30?
Current probability of “Yes”: 12%
- Status
- Settled
- Category
- Business
- Closing date
- 1 October 2026
- Participants
- 1
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution date
- 4 October 2026
VangAI analysis
VangAI edge: -12 pp
- The official press release from Micron Technology for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 reports revenue of $54.23 billion, which is below the threshold of $56.0 billion.
- The company had guided for revenue of $50.0 billion ± $1.0 billion, and the actual result aligns with these expectations.
It's like a team expected to score 3 goals but scored 2.5.
Market rules
The market resolves to "Yes" if, in the official press release from Micron Technology regarding the results of the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 (report scheduled for September 30, 2026), the total revenue (Revenue, GAAP) is strictly above $56.0 billion. If the revenue is equal to $56.0 billion or lower — "No". Company guidance: $50.0 billion ± $1.0 billion. Source — News Releases section at investors.micron.com. If the report is not published by the resolution time, the market is canceled.