Will Marvel's Wolverine receive a Metascore of 88 or higher by October 1, 2026?
Current probability of “Yes”: 50%
- Status
- Resolved
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 1 October 2026
- Participants
- 0
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution date
- 4 October 2026
VangAI analysis
VangAI edge: -45 pp
- The current Metascore of the game is 77, significantly below the threshold of 88.
- Critics highlight linear gameplay and repetitive combat, which lower the overall score.
- Previous Insomniac Games titles like Marvel's Spider-Man had higher scores, making the current result unexpected.
- Given current reviews and scores, it's unlikely that the Metascore will rise to 88 by October 1, 2026.
It's like a movie receiving average reviews and not expected to become a blockbuster.
Market rules
Criterion: the Metascore (critic score) for the game Marvel's Wolverine (Insomniac Games, PlayStation 5).
Threshold: Metascore >= 88.
Source: https://www.metacritic.com/game/marvels-wolverine/
Snapshot date and time: October 1, 2026, 12:00 UTC. Only one value is considered, recorded at this moment; subsequent rating changes do not affect the resolution.
Yes — if the Metascore is 88 or higher at the time of the snapshot. No — if it is below 88.
Edge cases: if the game is postponed and the Metascore is not yet calculated or is unavailable at the time of the snapshot (not enough reviews) — the outcome is No. If the page shows multiple platforms, the Metascore for the PlayStation 5 version is taken. If the site is unavailable, the snapshot will be taken at the earliest opportunity, but no later than October 8, 2026, 12:00 UTC.