Expedition to Mars with Human till the end of 2028?

Current probability of “Yes”: 50%

Status
Open
Category
Science
Closing date
31 December 2028
Participants
0

VangAI analysis

VangAI edge: -45 pp

  • NASA's current plans focus on lunar missions under the Artemis program, with Artemis III aiming for a lunar landing in 2027.
  • There is no official NASA announcement of a human Mars mission before the end of 2028.
  • Technological and logistical challenges make a human Mars mission by 2028 highly improbable.
  • NASA's Mars exploration plans currently emphasize robotic missions and sample return projects.

Betting on a human Mars mission by 2028 is like expecting a high school team to win the Super Bowl next year.

Market rules

Approved by NASA website human-operated mission (expedition) to Mars.

Official resolution source