Will LISA's (from BLACKPINK) EP "PRESS PLAY" break into the top 10 of the Billboard 200 in its debut week?
Current probability of “Yes”: 88%
- Status
- Resolved
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 4 November 2026
- Participants
- 1
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution date
- 6 November 2026
VangAI analysis
VangAI edge: -53 pp
- Low album sales: 'Press Play' sold about 27,000 copies in the first three days, significantly lower than Lisa's previous releases.
- Declining popularity: 'Press Play' sales are 80% lower than the previous album 'Alter Ego', indicating a potential decline in popularity.
- Limited sales through official store: Some sales through Lisa's official website are not counted in charts, potentially affecting overall figures.
- Market competition: Concurrent releases by other popular artists may reduce 'Press Play's chances of reaching the top 10.
Like a car with low fuel trying to finish a race.
Market rules
Yes, if LISA's release "PRESS PLAY" (released on 10/23/2026) ranks from 1 to 10 on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of November 7, 2026 (tracking period October 23–29, 2026). Otherwise No, including if the release is absent from the chart. Source: billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/2026-11-07/ or the official Billboard article about the top 10 of this week. If Billboard shifts the chart date, the first chart covering the release week of October 23–29 will be considered. Late corrections after 11/04/2026 12:00 UTC will not be taken into account.