Will the owners of 'Dune' buy 'The Hunger Games'? Lionsgate will sign an agreement to sell Legendary by January 31, 2027
Current probability of “Yes”: 88%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Business
- Closing date
- 31 January 2027
- Participants
- 1
VangAI analysis
VangAI edge: -23 pp
- Legendary Entertainment recently submitted a takeover offer for Lionsgate, indicating serious interest in the deal.
- Lionsgate's shares rose over 15% following news of the offer, reflecting positive market reaction.
- Previous negotiations between the companies have been intermittent, suggesting potential challenges in reaching a definitive agreement.
- The lack of official comments from both companies leaves uncertainty regarding the likelihood of the deal's completion.
It's like a marriage proposal without a ring; the intention is there, but the commitment isn't finalized.
Market rules
Yes, if between 23.10.2026 and 31.01.2027 23:00 UTC Lionsgate Studios Corp. and Legendary Entertainment (including through affiliates of Legendary/Apollo) publicly announce the signing of a definitive merger/acquisition agreement regarding the acquisition of Lionsgate Studios or a controlling stake — via a company press release or an 8-K form in SEC EDGAR. Otherwise No. Not counted: news of negotiations, offers (offer/bid), letters of intent, exclusivity, unconfirmed media sources. A deal of Lionsgate with another buyer — No. Closing of the deal before the resolution date is not required, signing is sufficient.