Will the live-action movie "The Legend of Zelda" from Sony and Nintendo earn ≥ $100 million in its opening weekend in the USA?
Current probability of “Yes”: 88%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 11 May 2027
- Participants
- 1
VangAI analysis
VangAI edge: -88 pp
- The Legend of Zelda film is scheduled for release on April 30, 2027, which does not align with the May 7–9, 2027 dates specified in the rules.
- According to the rules, if the U.S. release is moved to a different date, the market resolves as 'No'.
It's like a game being rescheduled to a different date, rendering bets on the original date's outcome invalid.
Market rules
Yes, if according to Box Office Mojo, the box office for the live-action movie "The Legend of Zelda" (Sony Pictures / Nintendo) in the USA and Canada for the opening 3-day weekend of May 7–9, 2027 (including Thursday previews) reaches at least $100,000,000. Otherwise No. The page for the weekend of May 7–9, 2027 (actuals, if published, otherwise studio estimates) at the time of resolution on May 11, 2027, 18:00 UTC will be used. If the release in the USA is postponed to another date, the market resolves as No.