Does the EP KATSEYE "WILD" debut in the top 5 of the Billboard 200?
Current probability of “Yes”: 50%
- Status
- Resolved
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 26 August 2026
- Participants
- 0
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution date
- 27 August 2026
VangAI analysis
VangAI estimate: +35% for “Yes”, confidence 90%
- KATSEYE's previous EP 'Beautiful Chaos' debuted at No. 4 on the Billboard 200 and spent 53 weeks on the chart.
- Singles from 'WILD', such as 'Pinky Up' and 'Animal', have already entered the Billboard Hot 100, reaching No. 28 and No. 24 respectively.
- 'WILD' set a record for the most pre-saves on Spotify among girl groups, surpassing 1.27 million pre-saves.
- KATSEYE received three American Music Award nominations and two GRAMMY nominations, indicating high popularity and recognition.
Like a successful movie with popular actors expected to top the box office.
Market rules
"Yes" — if the EP KATSEYE "WILD" (released August 14, 2026, HYBE x Geffen) debuts in positions 1-5 of the Billboard 200 chart dated August 29, 2026 (publication approximately August 25, 2026 at billboard.com/charts/billboard-200). Position 6 and below or absence from the chart — "No". Only the debut week is considered; a later rise into the top 5 is not counted. Edge cases: if the release is postponed and the EP does not come out on August 14, 2026 — "No"; if Billboard delays publication, the first official publication of the chart with this date is taken; in case of a chart date change by Billboard, the first chart accounting for the sales week of August 14-20, 2026 is taken.