"The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" will reach ≥ 80% on Rotten Tomatoes by opening weekend?
Current probability of “Yes”: 88%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 21 November 2026
- Participants
- 1
VangAI analysis
VangAI edge: +7 pp
- Early reactions to the film have been overwhelmingly positive, particularly highlighting Joseph Zada's standout performance as young Haymitch.
- Advance ticket sales indicate a potential opening above $100 million, reflecting high anticipation and audience interest.
- The film is based on a popular Suzanne Collins novel and is part of a successful franchise, increasing the likelihood of positive critical reception.
- Director Francis Lawrence, who previously worked on successful installments of the franchise, returns, adding credibility to the film's quality.
Like a well-prepared athlete poised for victory.
Market rules
Yes, if the Tomatometer (critics' rating, All Critics) for the film "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" on the Rotten Tomatoes page is 80% or higher at the snapshot on 21.11.2026 12:00 UTC. Otherwise No. If by that time the Tomatometer is not published (not enough reviews or embargo), — No. The value at the moment of the snapshot is considered (an archived copy of Wayback Machine, closest to the time of the snapshot, no later than 21.11.2026 18:00 UTC, is used for verification); subsequent changes are not taken into account. If the premiere is postponed, the market is still resolved based on the snapshot at the specified time.