Will Grand Theft Auto VI score 95+ on Metacritic?
Current probability of “Yes”: 88%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 26 November 2026
- Participants
- 1
VangAI analysis
VangAI estimate: -3% for “No”, confidence 80%
- Historically high scores of previous GTA series games, such as GTA IV (98) and GTA V (97).
- Rockstar Games' reputation for creating high-quality games with high critical acclaim.
- Expectations for GTA VI based on the series' previous successes and extended development period.
- Current trends in the video game industry, where high Metacritic scores are becoming less common.
Like a seasoned athlete who consistently performs at a high level but may face new challenges with age.
Market rules
"Yes" if the average critical rating (Metascore) of Grand Theft Auto VI on Metacritic is 95 or higher as of November 26, 2026, 23:59 UTC (the game is released on November 19, 2026). Otherwise, it is "No". If the Metascore has not yet been established by that date (status "tbd", not enough reviews) — the resolution is postponed until December 3, 2026.