Will Google publicly release Gemini 3.5 Pro by October 12, 2026?
Current probability of “Yes”: 88%
- Status
- Settled
- Category
- Technologies
- Closing date
- 12 October 2026
- Participants
- 1
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution date
- 14 October 2026
VangAI analysis
VangAI edge: -83 pp
- Lack of official announcement regarding the release of Gemini 3.5 Pro.
- Previous delays in the model's release despite promises.
- Absence of the model in the Gemini API catalog and official documentation.
- Lack of information on the model's pricing and technical specifications.
Like waiting for a train that has been canceled multiple times.
Market rules
"Yes" if Google officially makes the Gemini 3.5 Pro model publicly available (not narrow/experimental preview access, but public API or availability in the Gemini app for all users) by 23:59 UTC on October 12, 2026, according to the official Google DeepMind models page. Otherwise - "No."