Gears of War: E-Day will receive a Metascore of no less than 84 on Metacritic by October 13, 2026?

Current probability of “Yes”: 12%

Status
Settled
Category
Entertainment
Closing date
13 October 2026
Participants
1
Outcome
Yes
Resolution date
14 October 2026

VangAI analysis

VangAI edge: +83 pp

  • Gears of War: E-Day received a Metascore of 87 on Xbox Series X|S, exceeding the threshold of 84.
  • Critics praised the game for returning to the series' roots and enhanced gameplay.
  • The game was released on October 6, 2026, aligning with the market's conditions.
  • The game's Metascore on Metacritic is based on over 50 critic reviews, confirming its reliability.

It's like a team that previously received average scores suddenly winning the championship.

Market rules

Criterion: The Metascore of the game Gears of War: E-Day for the Xbox Series X|S platform on the game's page on Metacritic as of October 13, 2026, 12:00 UTC. Threshold: 84 or higher — 'Yes'; 83 and lower — 'No'. Source: https://www.metacritic.com/game/gears-of-war-e-day/ (select Xbox Series X platform). Benchmark: Gears 5 received a Metascore of 84. The game is scheduled for release on October 6, 2026. Edge cases: Metascore exactly 84 — 'Yes'; if at the specified time the Xbox Series X version has fewer than 20 critic reviews or the Metascore is not displayed, the market is canceled; if the release is postponed beyond October 6, 2026, the market is canceled.

Official resolution source