Thanksgiving Battle: Will "Meet the Fockers 4" with De Niro and Ariana Grande Outperform the Disney Animated Film "Hexed"?
Current probability of “Yes”: 88%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 1 December 2026
- Participants
- 1
VangAI analysis
VangAI edge: -23 pp
- Both films are releasing on November 25, 2026, making them direct competitors during the holiday weekend.
- 'Focker-in-Law' has projected 3-day weekend earnings between $30–40 million, aligning with projections for 'Hexed'.
- 'Focker-in-Law' is a sequel to a popular franchise featuring Robert De Niro and Ariana Grande, potentially attracting a broad audience.
- 'Hexed' is an original Disney animated film targeting family audiences, which may ensure steady earnings during the holiday period.
Like a race between two evenly matched runners, where one has a slight edge due to past victories.
Market rules
Yes, if according to Box Office Mojo the box office of the film "Focker In-Law" (Universal) in the U.S. and Canada for the 3-day weekend of November 27–29, 2026 (Fri–Sun) is strictly greater than the box office of the film "Hexed" (Walt Disney Studios) for the same weekend. Otherwise No (including equality). Specifically, the 3-day figures for the weekend are compared, not the 5-day figures taking into account Wednesday and Thanksgiving. The page for the weekend 2026W48 is used at the time of resolution December 1, 2026 18:00 UTC (actuals, if published, otherwise estimates). If "Focker In-Law" does not release during this weekend — No; if "Hexed" does not release, but "Focker In-Law" has released — Yes.