Will ETH close above $4,000 on August 31, 2026?

Current probability of “Yes”: 8%

Status
Settled
Category
Crypto
Closing date
31 August 2026
Participants
5
Outcome
No
Resolution date
1 September 2026

VangAI analysis

VangAI estimate: +7% for “Yes”, confidence 70%

  • Institutional forecasts for Ethereum in 2026 range from $3,175 to $7,500, indicating potential for significant price appreciation.
  • Ethereum's price reached an all-time high of $4,945.60 in August 2025, demonstrating its capacity to surpass the $4,000 threshold.
  • Advancements in Ethereum's scalability and reduced transaction fees may attract more users and investors, potentially driving the price higher.
  • The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and external factors such as regulatory changes and macroeconomic conditions can significantly impact Ethereum's price.

Like a stock with strong growth potential being undervalued by the market.

Market rules

Resolves YES if the Binance ETHUSDT daily candle close on 2026-08-31 (23:59 UTC) is strictly above $4,000.00. Otherwise NO.

Official resolution source