Will The Pitt win the nomination for 'Outstanding Drama Series' at the 2026 Emmys?
Current probability of “Yes”: 88%
- Status
- Settled
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 15 September 2026
- Participants
- 1
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution date
- 16 September 2026
VangAI analysis
VangAI estimate: +8% for “Yes”, confidence 90%
- "The Pitt" received 25 nominations for the 2026 Emmy Awards, including "Outstanding Drama Series".
- Critics consider "The Pitt" a favorite to win the "Outstanding Drama Series" category.
- Prediction markets estimate "The Pitt"'s chances of winning at 96%.
- "The Pitt" has been acclaimed for its realism and social relevance.
Like "Game of Thrones" in 2019, "The Pitt" dominates nominations and predictions.
Market rules
'Yes' if the award for 'Outstanding Drama Series' at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards (September 14, 2026) is won by the series The Pitt, according to the official list of winners from the Television Academy. Otherwise, 'No' (including the win of any other nominee: The Diplomat, The Gilded Age, A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms, Paradise, Pluribus, Slow Horses, Your Friends and Neighbors). Border case: in case of rescheduling the ceremony, the resolution date shifts to 24 hours after the actual announcement of the winner.