Will the worldwide box office for "Dune: Part Three" reach $750 million by February 14, 2027?
Current probability of “Yes”: 50%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 14 February 2027
- Participants
- 0
VangAI analysis
VangAI edge: +15 pp
- Success of previous franchise films: 'Dune: Part Two' grossed approximately $715 million worldwide.
- Positive projections: 'Dune: Part Three' is expected to gross around $1.15 billion worldwide.
- IMAX exclusivity window: The film secured an exclusive IMAX window in the US, potentially boosting ticket sales.
- Competition with 'Avengers: Doomsday': Both films are releasing simultaneously, which could impact box office performance.
Just as the previous film grossed $715 million, this one could surpass $750 million.
Market rules
The film Dune: Part Three (Legendary Pictures / Warner Bros.) is set to be released in the US on December 18, 2026. For comparison, Dune: Part Two (2024) grossed approximately $714 million at the worldwide box office over its run.
Yes — if on Box Office Mojo's "2026 Worldwide Box Office" (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/world/2026/) as of February 14, 2027, 8:00 PM UTC, the value in the Worldwide column for Dune: Part Three is at least $750,000,000. No — if the value is less.
A value of exactly $750,000,000 counts as "Yes". Only box office revenue from theaters (Domestic + International) is considered, excluding digital sales.
Edge cases: (1) if the release is postponed and the film has not been released by February 14, 2027 — outcome is "No"; (2) if the film is listed in the table for 2027, the row from https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/world/2027/ is taken; (3) if there is a delay in data updates, the first published value within the next 7 days is taken; (4) if the film gets a separate page on Box Office Mojo, priority is given to the Worldwide figure on it.