Will the ECB launch the digital euro to the public before January 1, 2027?
Current probability of “Yes”: 22%
- Status
- Settled
- Category
- Economy
- Closing date
- 1 June 2026
- Participants
- 3
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution date
- 21 July 2026
Market rules
Resolves YES if the ECB makes the digital euro available for public/retail use (general availability, not pilot) on or before 2026-12-31 UTC, per an official ECB announcement on ecb.europa.eu. Pilots and limited trials do not count. Otherwise NO.