Will the Curium - Lantheus deal close by June 30, 2027?
Current probability of “Yes”: 50%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Business
- Closing date
- 7 July 2027
- Participants
- 0
VangAI analysis
VangAI estimate: +25% for “Yes”, confidence 80%
- The signing of the definitive merger agreement between Curium and Lantheus on August 3, 2026.
- The planned closing of the deal in the first half of 2027, aligning with the deadline of June 30, 2027.
- The absence of financial conditions or related contingencies, reducing the likelihood of deal failure.
- The Lantheus board of directors' approval of the deal, indicating internal support.
The deal is already on the final stretch, just needs to cross the line.
Market rules
Criterion: the deal is considered closed (completed) when the merger of Lantheus Holdings, Inc. (LNTH) with Curium is actually finished, not when the agreement is signed (signed on August 3, 2026) and not when approvals from shareholders or regulators are received.
Date threshold: closing must occur no later than June 30, 2027, 23:59 ET.
Source: Lantheus Holdings filings page on SEC EDGAR — https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=LNTH&type=8-K&dateb=&owner=include&count=40
Yes — if a Form 8-K of Lantheus Holdings with Item 2.01 (Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets) confirming the completion of the merger is present at the specified URL, and the closing date stated within it is no later than June 30, 2027.
No — if there is no such 8-K by June 30, 2027, or if the deal is terminated/cancelled, or if the closing is dated later than June 30, 2027.
Resolution date: July 7, 2027, 12:00 UTC.
Edge cases: if the 8-K is published late, the actual closing date stated in the document is considered, not the submission date. If EDGAR is unavailable, the official press release on investor.lantheus.com with the same closing date is used. If the closing date is later reviewed or clarified, the version of the document available on July 31, 2027, is considered.