Will the Curium - Lantheus deal close by June 30, 2027?

Current probability of “Yes”: 50%

Status
Open
Category
Business
Closing date
7 July 2027
Participants
0

VangAI analysis

VangAI edge: +25 pp

  • Lantheus shareholders approved the merger with Curium on October 14, 2026.
  • The deal is valued at $8 billion, indicating significant commitment from both parties.
  • Both companies anticipate completing the merger in the first half of 2027, aligning with the stipulated timeframe.
  • Although the Federal Trade Commission requested additional information, both parties intend to cooperate and anticipate closing the deal within the stipulated timeframe.

The merger is like a train that has already passed most stations and is approaching the final stop.

Market rules

Criterion: the deal is considered closed (completed) when the merger of Lantheus Holdings, Inc. (LNTH) with Curium is actually finished, not when the agreement is signed (signed on August 3, 2026) and not when approvals from shareholders or regulators are received.

Date threshold: closing must occur no later than June 30, 2027, 23:59 ET.

Source: Lantheus Holdings filings page on SEC EDGAR — https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=LNTH&type=8-K&dateb=&owner=include&count=40

Yes — if a Form 8-K of Lantheus Holdings with Item 2.01 (Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets) confirming the completion of the merger is present at the specified URL, and the closing date stated within it is no later than June 30, 2027.
No — if there is no such 8-K by June 30, 2027, or if the deal is terminated/cancelled, or if the closing is dated later than June 30, 2027.

Resolution date: July 7, 2027, 12:00 UTC.

Edge cases: if the 8-K is published late, the actual closing date stated in the document is considered, not the submission date. If EDGAR is unavailable, the official press release on investor.lantheus.com with the same closing date is used. If the closing date is later reviewed or clarified, the version of the document available on July 31, 2027, is considered.

Official resolution source