Will the SEC approve Coinbase's perpetual futures on stocks by the end of 2026?

Current probability of “Yes”: 88%

Status
Open
Category
Technologies
Closing date
31 December 2026
Participants
1

VangAI analysis

VangAI edge: +0 pp

  • The SEC has already approved Coinbase's rules for equity perpetual futures, which became effective immediately.
  • The CFTC recently approved perpetual futures on individual stocks for trading on registered U.S. exchanges.
  • Coinbase has filed with the SEC to list equity perpetuals in the U.S., indicating progress in the process.
  • Despite previous SEC charges against Coinbase, current approvals indicate improving relations.

Like a train that has already arrived at the station, waiting only for the departure signal.

Market rules

"Yes" if the SEC officially approves the proposed Coinbase equity perpetual futures by 31.12.2026. "No" if there is no decision or a rejection. Source - SEC publications.

Official resolution source