Will Bitcoin exceed $87,000 by September 30, 2026?
Current probability of “Yes”: 88%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Crypto
- Closing date
- 30 September 2026
- Participants
- 1
VangAI analysis
VangAI estimate: -75% for “No”, confidence 85%
- Analyst forecasts for 2026 range from $38,000 to $250,000, indicating significant uncertainty.
It's like trying to predict the weather two years in advance when current models give conflicting results.
Market rules
The market resolves to "Yes" if the BTC/USD price from CoinGecko historical data (closing price of the day or intraday high) exceeds $87,000 at any moment until 23:59 UTC on September 30, 2026, inclusive. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Source: historical price page of Bitcoin on CoinGecko (historical_data). Edge case: in the event of temporary unavailability of the source on the resolution date, the nearest time value from the same source after it is restored is used, but no later than 48 hours.