Will the price of Brent oil on October 16, 2026 exceed $105 per barrel according to EIA?
Current probability of “Yes”: 12%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Economy
- Closing date
- 23 October 2026
- Participants
- 1
Market rules
The market resolves to "Yes" if the spot price of Europe Brent Spot Price FOB (EIA, series DCOILBRENTEU on FRED) for October 16, 2026 is strictly above $105.00 per barrel. If the value is equal to $105.00 or lower — "No". If there is no value on October 16 (weekend, no quote), the last published value of the series before this date is taken. As of September 18, 2026, the estimate is around $104 per barrel. Source: the DCOILBRENTEU series page on fred.stlouisfed.org.