Will Amazon MGM announce a new actor to play James Bond by December 31, 2026?

Current probability of “Yes”: 88%

Status
Open
Category
Entertainment
Closing date
31 December 2026
Participants
1

Market rules

The market resolves to "Yes" if, from the creation of the market until 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2026, Amazon MGM Studios (or the official account/website of the franchise) publicly names the actor who will play James Bond in the next film in the franchise (Bond 26). Rumors, "leaks," insider messages, statements from the actors themselves, and agents without studio confirmation do not count. An announcement made before the creation of the market does not count (as of the creation date, the performer is not officially named). If there is no official announcement of the name during the specified period - "No". Confirmation: the official franchise website 007.com and the press release from Amazon MGM Studios; duplicative sources - Variety, Deadline, Reuters.

Official resolution source