Will the Bank of England raise the key rate following the meeting on November 5, 2026?

Current probability of “Yes”: 88%

Status
Open
Category
Economy
Closing date
5 November 2026
Participants
1

Market rules

Criterion: The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee raises the Bank Rate above the current 3.75% following the meeting on November 5, 2026. Source: official announcement on bankofengland.co.uk (Monetary Policy Summary). Border case: maintaining the rate at 3.75% or lowering it — 'No'.

Official resolution source