Will 'Birds of a Feather' by Billie Eilish reach 5 billion streams on Spotify by the end of 2027?

Current probability of “Yes”: 88%

Status
Open
Category
Entertainment
Closing date
31 December 2027
Participants
1

VangAI analysis

VangAI estimate: +7% for “Yes”, confidence 90%

  • The current total streams for 'Birds of a Feather' are 3,985,850,010, which is 65 million more than a month ago.

Like a marathon runner who has already covered 80% of the distance and maintains a steady pace.

Market rules

The market resolves to 'Yes' if, according to the official page of the track 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' by Billie Eilish on Spotify (open.spotify.com), the stream count reaches 5,000,000,000 (5 billion) or more by 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2027. If at that point the count is less than 5 billion — 'No'. Source: official track page on Spotify. For reference: as of August 16, 2026, a total of approximately 3.92 billion streams have been accumulated (data from kworb.net based on public Spotify counters).

Official resolution source