Basquiat 'Leonardo and His Five Grotesque Heads' will go to Christie’s for $35 million or more?
Current probability of “Yes”: 88%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Business
- Closing date
- 21 November 2026
- Participants
- 1
VangAI analysis
VangAI edge: -13 pp
- The Basquiat painting is estimated at $30–50 million, which is below the $35 million threshold.
- The painting has a guarantee, increasing the likelihood of sale.
- Basquiat's market is stable, with a record sale of $110.5 million in 2017.
- The painting hasn't been exhibited for over 20 years, potentially increasing interest.
Like betting on a favorite with a slight lead in a horse race.
Market rules
Yes, if Jean-Michel Basquiat's painting 'Untitled (Leonardo and His Five Grotesque Heads)' (1983) is sold at the 21st Century Evening Sale of the auction house Christie’s in New York (scheduled for November 19, 2026) for a final price of at least $35,000,000, including buyer's premium (Price realised according to christies.com). Otherwise No. If the lot is withdrawn, not sold (bought in), sold privately before the auction or the auction is postponed to a date after 21.11.2026 12:00 UTC — No. In case of discrepancies, the priority is given to the results page of Christie’s, then to the press release of Christie’s or the reports of ARTnews/Artnet.