"Avengers: Doomsday": weekend box office in the US ≥ $250 million?
Current probability of “Yes”: 88%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 22 December 2026
- Participants
- 1
VangAI analysis
VangAI edge: +7 pp
- Strong advance ticket sales exceeding $125 million seven weeks before release.
- Directed by the Russo brothers and featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom.
- Holiday season release, typically boosting box office performance.
- Anticipated competition with 'Dune: Part Three,' but both films may attract different audiences.
Just as 'Avengers: Endgame' surpassed expectations, 'Avengers: Doomsday' may set new records.
Market rules
The market resolves "Yes" if, according to Box Office Mojo, the domestic box office gross (US and Canada) of the movie "Avengers: Doomsday" for its opening weekend (December 18–20, 2026) is $250,000,000 or more. If the gross is below the threshold or final data is not published by the resolution date (including postponement of the premiere), the market resolves "No". Source: the film's page on Box Office Mojo.