"Avengers: Doomsday": weekend box office in the US ≥ $250 million?
Current probability of “Yes”: 88%
- Status
- Open
- Category
- Entertainment
- Closing date
- 22 December 2026
- Participants
- 1
VangAI analysis
VangAI estimate: +7% for “Yes”, confidence 90%
- Record-breaking advance ticket sales: $16.5 million in the first 24 hours.
- Return of key actors and directors, including Robert Downey Jr. and the Russo brothers.
- Merger of popular franchises like Avengers, X-Men, and Fantastic Four.
- Lack of significant competition during the film's release period.
Just as 'Avengers: Endgame' set box office records, 'Avengers: Doomsday' is poised to replicate that success.
Market rules
The market resolves "Yes" if, according to Box Office Mojo, the domestic box office gross (US and Canada) of the movie "Avengers: Doomsday" for its opening weekend (December 18–20, 2026) is $250,000,000 or more. If the gross is below the threshold or final data is not published by the resolution date (including postponement of the premiere), the market resolves "No". Source: the film's page on Box Office Mojo.