Will Season 5 of "Outer Banks" top the weekly Netflix Global Top 10 (English-language shows) in its debut week?

Current probability of “Yes”: 73%

Status
Settled
Category
Entertainment
Closing date
28 August 2026
Participants
3
Outcome
Yes
Resolution date
31 August 2026

VangAI analysis

VangAI estimate: +12% for “Yes”, confidence 90%

  • Season 5 of 'Outer Banks' is the final season, which typically attracts more viewers.
  • The series has a dedicated fan base, increasing the likelihood of a high ranking.
  • Previous seasons have achieved high positions in Netflix rankings.
  • Season 5 premiered on August 20, 2026, aligning with the week ending August 23, 2026.

Just as the final season of a popular series typically attracts more viewers, Season 5 of 'Outer Banks' is likely to top the rankings.

Market rules

"Yes" if Season 5 of the series "Outer Banks" (premiering on 08/20/2026) ranked 1st in the weekly Netflix Global Top 10 chart in the TV (English) category for the week including the premiere date (week ending 08/23/2026), according to the official chart. "No" for any other position. Source - weekly Netflix Top 10 chart, publication ~08/26/2026.

Official resolution source